在市場待了近20年，累積了資產，幸運避開許多風險，也見過不少悲劇
真正的投資高手幾近絕跡，反倒是假先知、大師濫芋充數
所謂投資，目標不應追漲停，而是鎖定上漲，但絕非可斷言或預測
整體而言，市場的趨勢就是向上，所有崩盤或急殺都可視之為期不等的修正，但不是每個投資人都能撐過每一場金融風暴

換言之，資產配置與資金管控良窳才是勝出的關鍵
檯面上所謂的意見領袖(KOL)多半是藉由吸收學員，或販售版權等獲利苦撐，而非自身投資獲利，沒想像中閒適
一旦失去追隨者，這類人將無以為繼，逐一現形
試想，若市場90%以上的人都是韭菜，與他們為伍的你是否也是一樣!?

理論每個人都說的很好，做到的有幾個?
投資專屬的人格特質十分罕見，容不下這麼多大師，他們通常都是裸泳者，假的!!
因此，藉這次不知何時停歇的市場系統性風險，羅列以下觀察重點：
1.切勿追捧市場焦點(航海王、鋼鐵人、晶圓代工、生技、能源等)，一般投資人跟不上資金浪潮。
2.剛性需求(食品、基礎建設、民生等)通常不受市場親睞，卻是漲不停的絕佳選項。
3.鎖定物美價廉標的、長期持有，短線可期價差，長線靠股息(利)穩居不敗。
4.落實資金控管，再好的投資策略，也會因財務斷層而被迫中止。
5.持有資產，善用金融規則變現，將套利所得購買更多資產，重複前述步驟。
6.跌深就是最大的利多，所有市場氛圍、趨勢、消息都是人為杜撰的落後指標。
7.養成廣泛閱讀與獨立思考習慣，淬鍊市場存活的韌性與心理素質。
Been in the market for nearly 20 years, accumulated assets, fortunately avoided many risks, and seen many tragedies.
The real investment masters are almost extinct, but false prophets and mentors make up for it.
The so-called investment: the target should not chase the limit-up, but keep the rise, and it is by no means assertive or predictable.
The market trend is always upward, and all crashes or scrambles can be regarded as corrections of varying durations, but not every investor can survive from each financial storm.

In other words, good asset allocation and capital management are the keys to winning.
Most of key opinion leaders (KOLs) are earning profits by recruiting students or selling copyrights, rather than making money from their own investments.
Once they lose followers, such people will be unsustainable and will appear the real situation.
Just imagine, if more than 90% of the people in the market are losers, will you be the same with them!?

Everyone can explain financial theory very well, how many have done it?
Investment-specific personality and traits are very rare; there is no room for so many masters, who are usually like naked swimmers in the ocean!!
Therefore, base on this market systemic risk that does not reveal when to stop, the following points of observation are listed:
1. Don't pursue the market main focus (shipment, steel, semi-conduct, biotechnology, energy, etc.); general investors can't keep up with the tide of capital.
2. Rigid demand (food, infrastructure, livelihood, etc.) is usually not favored by the market, but it is an excellent option for growth.
3. Choose high-quality and low-cost targets, and hold for a long time, short-term price differences can be expected, and long-term dividends (profits) will keep you undefeated.
4. Implement capital control, even the best investment strategy will be forced to suspend due to financial faults.
5. Hold assets, make good use of financial rules to realize cash, buy more assets with arbitrage gains, and repeat the above steps.
6. Plummet is the sign of rebound, rise or surge. All market sentiment, trends and news are artificially fabricated backward indicators.
7. Develop the habit of extensive reading and independent thinking, and improve the toughness and psychological quality to survive in the market.

感謝S大分享市場分析2022.10.15, 感覺非常有用