紀律篇：
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-18400343-1-1.html
資本篇：
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-18439532-1-1.html
人性篇：
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-18507248-1-1.html
勝率篇：
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-19033934-1-1.html
機運篇：
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-19267049-1-1.html

歷史即後見之明，唯一肯定的是，所有事件在當時都不確定。
人類行為是不確定因素的起源，回應改變的方式往往偏離邏輯，任由情緒主導。
儘管不確定心理有損市場效率，卻是商業領域最強大的力量。
成功的關鍵是平衡短/長期思維，管理可預期風險，保留應對意外的彈性。

風險評估主要基於認知與經驗(理性)，而市場情緒與波動涉及不確定性(心理)。
投資人總高估自己對事物的理解程度，錯估潛藏的不確定性及風險。
面對不確定性極高的局勢，分析能力固然重要，實際驗證更關鍵。
與其預測，不如專注恆常的行為，才能在未知中獲得滿足與成就。

世界有其運作機制，不要逆著它走。
以人工智慧(AI)為例，儘管取代人力的論述甚囂塵上，然其無法反思人性，對不確定性的淺薄認知與理解將成「破口」。
同理，未能擬訂計畫、修正執行、精進傳承的投資人，注定被市場波動/情緒吞噬。
培養廣泛興趣、探索事物本質、習於獨立思考、匯聚不變真理，才能在複雜的環境裡，活得像人。
History is hindsight, and the only certainty is that all events were uncertain at the time.
Human behavior is the source of uncertainty, and responses to change often deviate from logic and allow emotions to dominate.
Although uncertainty undermines market efficiency, it is the most powerful force in business.
The key to success is balancing short/long-term mindset, managing anticipated risks, and retaining the flexibility to deal with the unexpected.

Risk assessment is mainly based on cognition and experience (rational), while market sentiment and fluctuations involve uncertainty (psychological).
Investors always overestimate their understanding of things and misestimate the potential uncertainty and risks.
In the face of extremely uncertain situations, analytical capabilities are important, but actual verification is even more critical.
Instead of predicting, it is better to focus on constant behavior to gain satisfaction and achievement in the unknown.

The world has its own working mechanism, don't go against it.
Take artificial intelligence (AI) as an example. Although discussions about replacing human power are rampant, it cannot reflect on human nature, and its shallow recognition and understanding of uncertainty will become a "break".
In the same way, investors who fail to formulate plans, revise their execution, and improve their inheritance are doomed to be swallowed up by market fluctuations/emotions.
Only by cultivating a wide range of interests, exploring the essence of things, becoming accustomed to independent thinking, and gathering immutable truths can we live like humans in the complex environment.

感謝S大分享應對投資風險(不確定性篇), 這對投資者助益良多