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S.O.H
高級版主 | 2024-11-15 17:22:06

本篇最後由 S.O.H 於 2024-12-24 11:51 編輯

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貪婪篇:
https://www.jkforum.net/thread-19497098-1-1.html

論及市場情緒,若有人以為貪婪的對立面是恐懼,代表對人性的認知略淺,尚不具備成為贏家的條件
當市場走勢與期望相反,投資人立即的反應是:
1.發生什麼事!
2.為何會這樣?
3.該如何處置?
以上,統稱為「自我懷疑」,是不可逆的人性,也是一種抵禦機制

任何讓人生變得更好的大膽嘗試,總伴隨著自我懷疑的原始反應
以投資為例,造成股價漲跌的原因是人們怎麼想,而非事件本身
有多少資金撐住成本耗損,心理素質能否抵禦該領域的危險屬性
真正的創新需建立在懷疑與證實之上,洞悉行為模式就可以獲益

無可否認,「懷疑」是世上最危險的恐怖主義之一
不論政局或戰事,乃至於市場趨勢的研判,懷疑導致的不確定性,遠勝於信任
成事或許在人,但誤事的肯定也是人(包含自己),坊間論述似乎刻意忽略倖存者偏差的事實,只為牟取個人與社會利益

多數人在內心悸動和熱情消失的瞬間,就會開始懷疑或放棄
想靠自己的力量生存,應勇於嘗試、強化心理韌性,構思企劃與方案
儘管迷茫,也要迎接挑戰,成敗的轉折點均始於此
時間是唯一「逐漸遞減」的資產,你的倉促或猶豫是學藝不精、怠於現狀,還是心存僥倖,市場將予公平裁定
這或許是投資藝術的社會/人文科學中,唯一真理

When it comes to market sentiment, if someone thinks that the opposite of greed is fear, it means that they have a slightly shallow understanding of human nature and aren’t ready to become winners.
When the market moves contrary to expectations, investors’ immediate reaction is:
1. What happened!
2. Why is this happening?
3. How to deal with it?
The above are collectively called "self-doubt", which is an irreversible human nature and a resistance mechanism.

Any bold attempts which change your life to be better are always accompanied by a primal reaction of self-doubt.
Taking investment as an example, the reason for the rise and fall of stock prices is what people think, not the event itself.
How much money is there to support cost losses, and whether the psychological quality can withstand the dangerous attributes of this field?
True innovation needs to be based on doubt and confirmation, and you can benefit from insights of behavioral patterns.

There is no denying that suspicion is one of the most dangerous forms of terrorism in the world.
Regardless of the political situation or war, or even the judgment of market trends, uncertainty caused by suspicion is far greater than trust.
It may be people who make things happen, but it is definitely people (including yourself) who make things go wrong. Public discussions seem to deliberately ignore the fact of survivorship bias, just to gain personal and social benefits.

Most people will begin to doubt or give up when their inner excitement and enthusiasm disappear.
If you want to survive on your own strength, you should have the courage to try, strengthen your mental toughness, and come up with plans.
Even though you are confused, you must face the challenge. The turning point of success or failure begins here.
Time is the only asset that "gradually diminishes". Whether your haste or hesitation is concerning to lack of skill, laziness to the status quo, or a fluke, the market will make a fair judgment.
This may be the only truth of investment art in social/humanities science.

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A_long
侯爵 | 2024-11-15 19:38:16

感謝您的分享才有的欣賞

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S.O.H + 6 + 6 感謝大大分享

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comsci
高級超級版主 | 2024-11-17 22:26:05

感謝S大分享市場情緒(自我懷疑篇), 對投資者很有助益

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鄭玄琦
高級版主 | 2024-11-19 20:39:36

定期定額風險比較小
現在有穩定成長就很滿足

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