人都有缺陷，也期望自己能完美無瑕，或遇到那樣的存在
畢竟無法實現，所以折衷，體現在創作裡(故事、劇集、影視、動漫等)
幻想無可厚非，但要釐清與現實的隔閡，可不容易
其中之一，是「主角光環」
敘事者其實不傻，若將主角從頭開掛到尾，想必沒人欣賞
因此，情節通常朝著歷經千辛萬苦，憑藉無比幸運過關斬將，迎向美好結局
總之，就是會受傷，但死不了，且常有貴人相助，無限巧合串聯
上述不切實際的部分屬於「倖存者偏差」，並非不可能發生，但機率比想像的更低
(很遺憾，你不是主角…)
平凡遇不上尊貴親睞，弱小不會受強大庇護，窮苦不可能跨越富裕，愚善無法戰勝聰黠
所謂瘋狂，是除重複做同樣的事，卻期待不同的結果(看起來挺有紀律的)
市場裡，唯一擁有完美人設的是「看不見的手」，亦即行為/人性的綜合體
程式交易涉及個體非周期性的主觀調校/設置，稱不上完美
其餘玩家，比的是誰更正確、精準、幸運、狡詐，置身於零和遊戲
心理素質差者，贏的機率趨近於無
因此，多數人僅剩單一選項：集體共識
孰不知，仰仗他人的自我認同，極其脆弱
任何法則皆不可墨守成規，須視環境改變，順勢而為
儘管如此，少數人仍嘗試突破禁錮，創造人工輔助智慧(AI)
藉由對以下三項原則的理解，建立自動評析與交易機制，管理龐大的閒置資產：
1.人類是種時常非理性，卻期許/堅信自己理性的生物，不同調的認知，導致犯錯原罪。
2.市場效率使獲利遞減，整體利潤總值不變，以「不確定性」包裝的獎勵授予真正贏家。
3.投資「不變的定理」，忽略任何價格波動，市場雜訊令人疲於奔命，喪失應有的專注。
迄今，績效達成率突破90%，準備邁向下一階躍遷
投資人對基本面的觀察或許正確，但市場的非理性時期往往比個人財力所能負擔的還要久
機制要完善，優化必不可少；持續且廣泛的閱讀，與參加公眾研商均能發揮綜效
與優秀的人並進，若此刻沒有，就自行探索
一旦人設進階，就會發現完美遙不可及
這本是一條永無止盡的成長之路，人煙罕至
Everyone has flaws, and we all hope to be perfect, or to encounter such a person.
After all, it is impossible to achieve, so compromise is reflected in the creation (stories, dramas, movies, animation, etc.).
Fantasy is understandable, but it is not easy to clear the gap with reality.
One of them is the "protagonist halo."
The narrator is not stupid. If the protagonist is cheating from the beginning to the end, no one will appreciate it.
Therefore, the plot usually goes towards a happy ending after going through untold hardships and overcoming all obstacles with great luck.
In short, you may get hurt, but won't die, and there will always be noble people to help you, and infinite coincidences will be connected.
The above unrealistic part belongs to "survivor bias". It is not impossible to happen, but the probability is lower than imagined.
(Sorry, you are not the protagonist...)
The ordinary will not be favored by the noble, the weak will not be protected by the strong, the poor will not be able to surpass the rich, and the foolish kindness will not be able to defeat the clever.
Crazy, which is doing the same thing over and over again but expecting different results (seems pretty disciplined).
In the market, the only person with a perfect personality is the "invisible hand", which is a combination of behavior and human nature.
Program trading involves individual non-periodic subjective adjustments/settings, which is not perfect.
The other players are competing to see who is more correct, precise, lucky, cunning, and in a zero-sum game.
Those with poor psychological quality have a near zero chance of winning.
Therefore, most people are left with only one option: collective consensus.
Little do we know that relying on others for self-identity is extremely fragile.
No rules can be rigidly followed. We must adapt to changing circumstances.
Despite this, a few people are still trying to break through the shackles and create artificial intelligence (AI).
By understanding the following three principles, I establish an automatic evaluation and trading mechanism to manage huge amounts of idle assets:
1. Human beings are often irrational, but they expect/firmly believe in their own rationality. Inconsistent cognition leads to original sin.
2. Market efficiency leads to diminishing returns, but the overall profit value remains unchanged, and rewards packaged as "uncertainty" are awarded to the real winners.
3. Invest in the "immutable theorem" and ignore any price fluctuations. Market noise will make people run around and lose their focus.
So far, the performance achievement rate has exceeded 90%, and I am ready to move to the next level
Investors may be right about the fundamentals, but periods of market irrationality often last longer than what one can afford.
Mechanisms must be improved and optimized; continuous and extensive reading and participation in public consultations can bring about synergy.
Keep up with the best people. If you don’t have any so far, explore on your own.
Once your character is advanced, you will find that perfection is out of reach.
This is an endless road of growth, sparsely populated. |
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